Used to measure demand and supply for a single instrument
Indicator Type
Buying/Selling Pressure Gauge
Works Best
All market types and time frames although daily is the most popular. Weekly may be more effective.
Formula
Similar to on-balance or cumulative volume, CMF uses price times volume. However, there are two main differences. Whereas on-balance volume calculates each period’s value and plots the running total, CMF acts more like a moving window. It sums up price times volume for a user defined span of periods and then calculates a fresh value for the next period.
The second difference is that instead of close price, CMF calculates the percentage of where the close price falls within that period’s range. Called a “multiplier” instead of simply price, it ranges from -1 for a close at the low to +1 for a close at the high.
Parameters
Theory
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a window of time. It attempts to measure buying and selling pressures of a security for single period. CMF then sums Money Flow Volume over a user-defined number of periods and divides by the total volume for that number of periods. The result varies between 1 and -1.
Creator Marc Chaikin believed that if a given period closes in the upper half of the range, then buying pressure is higher. Conversely, if the period closes in the lower half of the range, then selling pressure is higher.
If a stock, for example, closed at its high for 20 straight days, each day’s volume would be multiplied by 1, meaning all volume went to the bulls. The resulting CMF would also be 1 and we can argue that this rare occurrence would leave the stock quite overbought.
For a stock moving sideways, the likely value of CMF would hover near 0 and suggest neither bulls nor bears were in control. However,, this oscillator usually moves between -0.50 and +0.50.
Interpretation
The simplest way to use CMF is to identify buying pressure when the indicator is above zero and selling pressure when it is below zero. The higher it gets the stronger the buying pressure. And the lower it gets (more negative) the stronger the selling pressure.
When CMF crosses the zero Line it can alert the user that a trend reversal is possible.
To reduce false signals, many users expand the threshold for these signals buy requiring the indicator to cross above 0.05 for a buy and below -0.05 for a sell. However, it is best to look back at the particular securities history to fine tune these levels.
Unlike traditional money flow indicators, divergences between Chaikin Money Flow and price are not as effective. For example, even if the indicator set a lower peak in positive territory it is still in positive territory. Price momentum may slow down but price direction does not necessarily follow. Users can take a lower high as a warning but each peak should be taken on its own.
Chaikin Money Flow does have a problem handling gaps. For example, if a stock gaps up but closes in the bottom of its range the Money Flow Volume value for that period would be negative and the CMF calculation would fall. This despite the rather bullish price jump.
There is also a problem with volatile securities. Even if there are valid up and down trends in place, CMF can provide many whipsaws if price action within the trend is choppy. Therefore, it pays to look at the security’s history to see if this has been the case. If it has, then it may not be a good candidate for CMF analysis.